With winter in the northern hemisphere approaching, temperatures are cooling and those looking to hedge exposure to the energy markets keenly observe the behavior of both the Henry Hub Natural Gas and WTI Crude Oil curves

Using the RiskAPI Add-In, a one-year, daily correlation matrix is generated on the NG curve, starting at the current front month and going out a full calendar year:

Similarly, a daily correlation matrix for the WTI curve is also generated:

Note that values shaded in green show larger correlation and values shaded in red show smaller correlation.

The recent spread of covid19 has also seen rapid changes in asset/sector correlations:

This is a matrix representing the return correlation across multiple assets (Gold, WTI Oil, US 10-Year Rates, US Equity Markets and multiple market sectors; healthcare, utilities, banks, and energy) through Feb 20.

Here is the same matrix through March 5th. Note the higher correlations across all assets other than Gold.

To emphasize the point, the above shows a rolling average matrix cross correlation, showing the average pairwise correlation increasing since the covid19 epidemic hit Western Europe.

All calculations are as of 3/5/2020, executed on daily data since 12/31/2019.

The results above were calculated using The RiskAPI Add-In, our unique software client which allows fund managers to access a whole spectrum of on-demand portfolio risk analysis calculations.

A look at how the recent spread of covid19 has expressed itself in rapidly increasing US Equity market volatility:

This is a rolling, 30-day SPX volatility chart. The increase has been profound in its speed and impact.

All calculations are as of 3/5/2020, executed on daily data since 12/31/2019.

The results above were calculated using The RiskAPI Add-In, our unique software client which allows fund managers to access a whole spectrum of on-demand portfolio risk analysis calculations.